Research news - Met Office
Met Office research news highlights updates to modelling, innovative research activities, and studies that enhance our understanding of global and UK weather impacts.
www.metoffice.gov.ukEl Niño onset expected between June and August 2026, 80% probability reported by the WMO, hinting at warmer global temperatures and increased severe weather risk. Across Europe and the UK experience a buckling jet stream pushing Arctic air south, after a May heat dome, with heat records fueling stronger storms. Such patterns heighten drought risk in parts of South Asia and challenge energy systems and farming worldwide through late 2026. Ongoing monitoring of worldwide meteorology remains essential for planning across sectors.