Thomas Massie 'Extremely Vulnerable' to GOP Primary Challenge ...
Rep. Thomas Massie (R-KY) could lose his House seat to a GOP challenger due to bucking President Donald Trump’s agenda, according to internal Republican polling.
ground.newsThe latest reporting on Rep. Thomas Massie’s 2026 GOP primary polling says he is trailing challenger Ed Gallrein in a new survey released in mid-May 2026.[1][4]
What the newest poll says
- A Quantus Insights poll of 908 likely voters (fielded May 11–12) found Gallrein leading Massie by about 5.2 points among likely voters (48.3% vs. 43.1%).[4][1]
- When respondents who lean toward a candidate were included, the gap widened to about 7.7 points (52.8% vs. 45.1%).[1]
- The same coverage describes this as the first poll to show Gallrein in the lead, while earlier polls had Massie up by single digits.[4]
Context vs. earlier polls
- The reporting highlights a reversal from an earlier April 6–7 Quantus survey that had Massie leading by 9 points.[1]
- It also notes that, among polls in the race’s tracking average, two of the three included were from Quantus, with another poll (Big Data Poll, April 6–7) showing Massie up by 4 points.[1]
If you tell me which state/district you mean (Massie is Kentucky’s 4th district) and whether you want only fresh polls from the last week or all recent polls this month, I can narrow it down to the most relevant figures.